Superworth

NVIDIA NVDA

Semiconductors, Technology
$210.96
−0.59%
Market cap
$5.1T
PE
26.7×
10y median 54.4×
Forward PE
17.5×
10y median 33.6×
Price to sales
16.8×
EV/EBIT
25.4×
Revenue, 12 months
$303B
+83% on a year ago
Net margin
63.7%
Free cash flow yield
2.5%

A Superworth story

Seven times the sales, priced for a slowdown

Growth is speeding up again, yet the price assumes the boom cools.

The story in 38 seconds
  1. The AI boom runs through NVIDIA

    Three years ago a year of NVIDIA's sales came to about 45 billion dollars. Now it is 303 billion, almost seven times as much, and nearly all of it comes from data centers, where AI is built and run. The company is still led by its co-founder, Jensen Huang. Most companies slow down as they grow. NVIDIA's growth sped up again over its last three reports.

  2. It keeps two thirds of every sale as profit

    In its latest quarter NVIDIA kept about 66 cents of every sales dollar as operating profit. Its ten-year norm is about a third. Margins that rich draw rivals: AMD, and the custom chips Google and OpenAI design for themselves. They have fallen fast before, to 49 cents in the quarter to April 2025.

  3. Profit outran a fivefold rise in the price

    Part of NVIDIA's reported profit is gains on its stakes in other AI companies, and gains like that can reverse. Leave them out and the stock costs about 33 times its profit, against a norm of about 54 over the last three years. The price has climbed, but profit has climbed faster, so the multiple has shrunk.

  4. It now helps pay for its customers' data centers

    The business makes about 127 billion dollars a year in free cash, the cash left after paying for equipment, and plans to hand much of it back by buying its own shares. Some of that strength now backs NVIDIA's own buyers. It will guarantee up to 105 billion dollars of lease payments on an OpenAI data center in Ohio, the latest case of NVIDIA financing the demand for its own chips.

  5. The price assumes the boom cools

    Analysts expect adjusted profit per share, NVIDIA's own measure that leaves those investment gains out, to grow about 70 percent over the next twelve months. At today's price that makes the stock about 19 times those earnings, close to the lowest of the last three years. A multiple that low on growth that fast says investors expect the boom to cool. The line before late September is rebuilt from today's estimates.

  6. November 18 tests which side is right

    Analysts expect about 109 billion dollars of sales when NVIDIA reports on November 18, a little above the company's own guide. NVIDIA also guided to keeping about 74 cents of each sales dollar after the cost of making its chips. Results at or above both would say the doubt in the price was too deep. A miss, or thinner margins, would say the market was right to worry.

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What has happened lately

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Charts

Financials

Income statement for NVDA, by quarter
Income statementQ3 FY24Q4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27Q2 FY27
$18.1B+206%$22.1B+265%$26B+262%$30B+122%$35.1B+94%$39.3B+78%$44.1B+69%$46.7B+56%$57B+63%$68.1B+73%$81.6B+85%$96.2B+106%
Cost of revenue$4.7B+71%$5.3B+140%$5.6B+122%$7.5B+85%$8.9B+89%$10.6B+100%$17.4B+209%$12.9B+73%$15.2B+70%$17B+61%$20.5B+18%$24.1B+87%
Gross profit$13.4B+322%$16.8B+338%$20.4B+339%$22.6B+139%$26.2B+95%$28.7B+71%$26.7B+31%$33.9B+50%$41.8B+60%$51.1B+78%$61.2B+129%$72.1B+113%
R&D$2.3B+18%$2.5B+26%$2.7B+45%$3.1B+52%$3.4B+48%$3.7B+51%$4B+47%$4.3B+39%$4.7B+39%$5.5B+48%$6.3B+59%$7.1B+64%
SG&A$689M+9%$712M+14%$777M+23%$842M+35%$897M+30%$975M+37%$1B+34%$1.1B+33%$1.1B+26%$1.3B+32%$1.3B+25%$1.4B+21%
$10.4B+1633%$13.6B+984%$16.9B+690%$18.6B+174%$21.9B+110%$24B+77%$21.6B+28%$28.4B+53%$36B+65%$44.3B+84%$53.5B+147%$63.7B+124%
Interest expense$63M−3%$63M−2%$64M−3%$61M−6%$61M−3%$61M−3%$63M−2%$62M+2%$61M+0%$73M+20%$102M+62%$227M+266%
Pre-tax income$10.5B+1617%$14.1B+995%$17.3B+682%$19.2B+175%$22.3B+112%$25.2B+79%$21.9B+27%$31.2B+62%$37.9B+70%$50.4B+100%$69.9B+219%$71.5B+129%
$1.3B$1.8B$2.4B+1345%$2.6B+230%$3B+135%$3.1B+72%$3.1B+31%$4.8B+83%$6B+100%$7.4B+138%$11.6B+269%$11.8B+147%
Net income$9.2B+1259%$12.3B+769%$14.9B+628%$16.6B+168%$19.3B+109%$22.1B+80%$18.8B+26%$26.4B+59%$31.9B+65%$43B+95%$58.3B+211%$59.7B+126%
$0.37+1270%$0.49+765%$0.60+632%$0.67+168%$0.78+111%$0.89+81%$0.76+27%$1.08+61%$1.30+67%$1.76+98%$2.39+215%$2.46+128%
24.9B−0%24.9B+1%24.9B+0%24.8B−1%24.8B−1%24.7B−1%24.6B−1%24.5B−1%24.5B−1%24.4B−1%24.4B−1%24.3B−1%

Net income: 7 periods, Q4 FY10 to Q4 FY26: printed in the fourth-quarter results release.

EPS, diluted: Q4 FY09 and Q4 FY18: quarter's net income to common over its shares, to the cent. 7 periods, Q4 FY10 to Q4 FY26: printed in the fourth-quarter results release.

Diluted shares: Q4 FY09: a loss quarter: its basic count, share-days: the 12-month average less the 9-month, weighted by days. 7 periods, Q4 FY10 to Q4 FY26: printed in the fourth-quarter results release. 10 periods, Q4 FY11 to Q4 FY20: share-days: the 12-month average less the 9-month, weighted by days.

From each company's 10-Q and 10-K filings, the newest version of each figure. Quarters are as filed (a fourth quarter is the year less its first nine months), fiscal years as the 10-K prints them, restated where a later 10-K restated them, and balance sheet lines as of the period's end. A quarter whose 10-Q isn't filed yet is from the company's results release. Growth is on the same period a year earlier. A dash is a period with no figure for the line: the filing doesn't print it, or it hasn't been read yet. Figures from older filings without data tags, and from a results release before its 10-Q, are read from the document's text and checked against it.

Estimates

Next earnings report: .

QuarterRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
Q3 FY27$108.8B$107.8B to $112.3B$2.47$2.32 to $2.6828
Q4 FY27$124.5B$117.9B to $133.4B$2.74$2.52 to $2.9327
Q1 FY28$142.9B$135.8B to $154.9B$3.18$2.97 to $3.5212
Q2 FY28$162.7B$154.6B to $176.4B$3.65$3.41 to $4.0515
Q3 FY28$184.8B$175.6B to $200.4B$4.21$3.93 to $4.6718
Q4 FY28$210.5B$200B to $228.3B$4.79$4.48 to $5.3220
Q1 FY29$220.9B$209.9B to $239.5B$4.95$4.63 to $5.5023
Q2 FY29$231.4B$219.9B to $251B$5.18$4.85 to $5.7526

Peers

Companies in Semiconductors nearest NVIDIA's size, closest first.

CompanyMarket capPEIts 10y median PEFwd PEP/SRevenue growthNet margin
NVDANVIDIA$5.1T26.7×54.4×17.5×16.8×+83%63.7%
AVGOBroadcom$1.5T41.1×46.3×18.6×17.2×+49%42.9%
MUMicron Technology$992.9B11.8×18.1×5.0×7.5×+256%63.8%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices$843.6B133×106×45.7×20.4×+40%15.6%
Peer median$992.9B41.1×46.3×18.6×17.2×+49%42.9%

Investors who own it

Investors we follow who held NVIDIA at the end of Jun 30, 2026, from their 13F filings.

More on NVIDIA

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About

Chief executive
Jensen Huang, since 1993FounderCo-founded NVIDIA in 1993 and has been CEO since. Source
Industry
Semiconductors
Sector
Technology

Valuation data, not investment advice. Prices as of .